The article notes the seriousness of the problem of global warming not only for the environment, but also for the economy, health and safety of people. The causes and consequences of the climate crisis are considered. It is noted that in order to solve the existing problem, it is extremely necessary to predict anthropogenic and natural factors that affect climate variability. And also, using the example of the de-velopment of the desertification process based on certain formulas, it is shown that in order to maintain environmental safety, it is extremely necessary to model all processes of natural phenomena.